Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Peyton Stearns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.70%56.85%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.671.7362.11%60.08%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visit)
Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.30%43.15%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.2547.62%45.74%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 56.85%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 43.15%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.64%E -0.949%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.78%E -1.62%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.35%E -1.50%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 09:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.22%E -1.90%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.48%E -2.67%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.79%E -1.70%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 08:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 08:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 08:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 06:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 06:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 06:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 09:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 05:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.92%E -1.30%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.94%E -2.73%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 06:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 14:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -7.33%E -4.49%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.40%E -4.47%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.08%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 09:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 09:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -8.53%E -4.02%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.46%E -5.26%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 06:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.46%E -5.26%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.24%E -3.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 06:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |