The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Iryna Shymanovich v Lea Ma

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iryna Shymanovich (Local)

Prediction 54.31%1.84fair odd
EV +8.62%
Edge +4.31%
Kelly +8.62%
Growth +0.743%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%54.43%54.23%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.781.802.0063.69%56.25%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lea Ma (Visit)

Prediction 45.69%2.19fair odd
EV +5.09%
Edge +2.21%
Kelly +3.91%
Growth +0.199%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%45.57%45.77%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.991.952.3057.14%50.36%51.28%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iryna Shymanovich (Local): 54.31%; Lea Ma (Visit): 45.69%. For Iryna Shymanovich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +8.62%E +4.31%K +8.62%G +0.743%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -16.39%E -8.95%K -19.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +5.90%E +3.03%K +6.21%G +0.367%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -20.04%E -11.45%K -26.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:55
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV +4.82%E +2.50%K +5.18%G +0.249%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -11.82%E -6.12%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 17:55
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.56%E +0.833%K +1.79%G +0.028%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.56%E -7.79%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.472%E +0.255%K +0.555%G +0.003%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:55
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.472%E +0.255%K +0.555%G +0.003%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.47%E -8.36%K -18.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 17:55
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.24%E -1.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.73%E -6.67%K -13.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 17:55
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -3.87%E -2.19%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -14.56%E -7.79%K -16.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 17:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:56
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.05%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 17:53
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:56
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.520%E +0.236%K +0.433%G +0.002%7.2%2026-09-13 17:56
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -13.11%E -8.19%K -21.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +5.09%E +2.21%K +3.91%G +0.199%6.0%2026-09-13 17:56
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -14.73%E -9.39%K -25.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +5.09%E +2.21%K +3.91%G +0.199%7.2%2026-09-13 17:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-09-13 17:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-09-13 17:56
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%6.4%2026-09-13 17:56
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 52.82%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.18%13.4%2026-09-13 17:56