Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova v Janice Tjen

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC

Final: Darja Vidmanova 0–2 Janice Tjen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Darja Vidmanova (Local)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.67%44.68%44.59%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.1850.00%47.47%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Janice Tjen (Visit)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.32%55.41%56.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.711.7561.73%58.78%58.65%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 44.61%; Janice Tjen (Visit): 55.39%. For Darja Vidmanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -2.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.07%E -1.75%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 17:51
GTbets🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.19%E -1.47%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 18:11
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.64%E -1.69%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 19:30
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 18:11
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.09%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 19:35
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.98%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:50
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.98%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 17:50
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:31
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:35
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 19:31
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:51
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:51
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 17:51
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:11
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 19:31
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:45
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.84%E -3.43%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 17:51
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.32%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.61%E -5.22%K -13.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -6.76%E -3.24%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 17:51
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 17:51
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 13:16
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:50
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.50%E -4.49%K -11.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 17:51
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -9.16%E -5.59%K -14.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.72%E -5.96%K -15.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.18%E -2.41%K -5.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 13:17
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 19:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 19:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 19:51
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-13 19:51
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.4%2026-09-13 19:51
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.6%2026-09-13 19:50