Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.81
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 35.72%; Sara Bejlek (Visit): 64.28%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.360%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +0.360%E +0.128%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 07:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV +0.360%E +0.128%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-17 07:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -0.711%E -0.256%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 16:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -1.78%E -0.648%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.78%E -0.648%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.78%E -0.648%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.78%E -0.648%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -2.14%E -0.781%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -8.72%E -6.14%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-17 16:16 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV -2.50%E -0.915%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-09-17 07:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -3.21%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-17 17:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -3.57%E -1.32%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-17 07:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.34%EV -3.93%E -1.46%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.66%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-17 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.28%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.64%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-17 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 17:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.35%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -2.93%E -1.94%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.07%E -2.31%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.43%E -2.45%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 13:56 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-17 13:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.22%E -2.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-17 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.86%E -3.28%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 01:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 17:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 17:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.79%E -4.68%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 01:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -7.14%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -8.07%E -5.65%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.07%E -5.65%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.71%E -4.28%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-09-17 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.16% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.84% | 0.1% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-17 17:30 |