Language:English
Cristina Bucsa v Iva Jović
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Prediction 24.45%4.09fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.410%
Kelly +0.540%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%24.53%24.42%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.754.1628.57%26.45%26.67%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iva Jović (Visit)
Prediction 75.55%1.32fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -8.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.22%75.47%75.58%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.261.2982.64%79.31%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 24.45%; Iva Jović (Visit): 75.55%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +1.71%E +0.410%K +0.540%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +1.71%E +0.410%K +0.540%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.52%EV +0.972%E +0.235%K +0.310%G +0.003% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.48%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +0.238%E +0.058%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +0.238%E +0.058%K +0.077%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -7.07%E -5.75%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 08:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.21%E -0.552%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.21%E -0.552%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.21%E -0.552%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 08:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.43%E -0.868%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 12:27 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.65%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.87%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.05%E -3.19%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 05:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.10%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.58%E -7.09%K -40.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 05:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 08:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.32%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.83%E -6.42%K -35.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 08:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -8.81%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 05:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 06:48 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 02:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -9.54%E -2.58%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.54%E -1.97%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.80%E -3.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.99%E -3.33%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.56%E -4.45%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -13.21%E -3.72%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -6.32%E -5.09%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 05:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 02:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.43%E -4.12%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.29%E -2.57%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 02:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.10% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.90% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |