Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.28
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carole Monnet (Local): 44.87%; Katrina Scott (Visit): 55.13%. For Carole Monnet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.30%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV +2.30%E +1.01%K +1.79%G +0.041% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +0.950%E +0.422%K +0.760%G +0.007% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 15:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.19%E -1.00%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.19%E -1.00%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -6.82%E -4.04%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -9.03%E -5.47%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.86%E -1.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 15:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.93%E -4.75%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.760%E -0.422%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.760%E -0.422%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.52%E -2.01%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.27%E -3.69%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.760%E -0.422%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.62%E -2.67%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.17%E -3.01%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 15:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 15:56 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-13 15:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 15:56 |