Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova v Mia Pohánková

Kickoff: 2026-06-15 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova (Local)

Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.05%55.86%54.61%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.661.7762.50%60.06%60.24%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mia Pohánková (Visit)

Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV +3.53%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.14%45.39%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3350.00%46.20%46.51%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebeka Masarova (Local): 55.56%; Mia Pohánková (Visit): 44.44%. For Mia Pohánková (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +3.53%E +1.52%K +2.66%G +0.094%3.5%2026-06-15 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -8.32%E -5.04%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +3.53%E +1.52%K +2.66%G +0.094%3.5%2026-06-15 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -7.76%E -4.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +2.20%E +0.957%K +1.69%G +0.037%3.7%2026-06-15 13:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +2.20%E +0.957%K +1.69%G +0.037%5.2%2026-06-15 13:59
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%EV -3.32%E -1.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%EV +1.31%E +0.576%K +1.03%G +0.013%1.3%2026-06-15 13:40
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.43%E -5.78%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 13:59
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -0.021%E -0.009%K -0.017%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 13:38
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -7.76%E -4.68%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -0.465%E -0.208%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:40
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-15 13:40
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.10%E -6.94%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.10%E -6.94%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 13:40
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.10%E -6.94%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.24%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.99%E -6.16%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:40
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.54%E -6.55%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 14:00
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.54%E -6.55%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 14:00
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.65%E -0.932%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 14:00
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.76%E -1.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.76%E -1.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.21%E -4.32%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 14:00
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 14:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.13%E -5.56%K -11.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-15 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-06-15 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-06-15 14:00
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-06-15 14:00
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-06-15 14:01