L’École des cotes

Nikola Bartunkova v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prévision 36.37%2.75cote équitable
EV -0.708%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.409%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.84%36.31%36.31%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.622.602.7340.00%38.22%38.39%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.63%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%63.69%63.69%65.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.481.481.5470.42%67.64%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -0.708%E -0.259%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 13:31
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:31
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:31
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.89%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.65%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-15 13:31
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.92%E -2.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 13:31
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:29
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:29
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:31
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:31
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:30
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 13:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:31
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.65%E -6.79%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:30
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -4.34%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.01%E -6.30%K -20.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 13:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.01%E -1.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 13:30
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.01%E -1.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 13:30
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:28
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:31
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 13:31
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:26
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:28
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.37%E -5.82%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 13:29
FanDuel2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.89%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.28%E -2.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:29
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -7.98%E -3.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 13:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.65%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:31
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 13:27
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-06-15 13:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-15 13:31
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-15 13:31
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%2.8%2026-06-15 13:30
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-06-15 13:30