La escuela de los momios

Nikola Bartunkova v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-06-15 13:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

66 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Predicción 36.37%2.75momio equitativo
EV -0.708%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.409%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.84%36.31%36.31%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.622.602.7340.00%38.22%38.39%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 63.63%1.57momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -3.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.69%63.69%65.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5470.42%67.64%67.57%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -0.708%E -0.259%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 13:31
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:31
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:31
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Bally Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -1.80%E -0.666%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.89%E -1.08%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.65%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-15 13:31
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.92%E -2.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-15 13:31
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:29
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:29
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:31
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-15 13:31
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:30
ReBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.10%E -4.86%K -15.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 13:30
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:31
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -3.62%E -1.37%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.65%E -6.79%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:30
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -4.34%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -9.01%E -6.30%K -20.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 13:30
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.01%E -1.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 13:30
LowVig.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.01%E -1.31%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-15 13:30
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.07%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:28
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:30
Dabble (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:31
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 13:29
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.19%E -3.48%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 13:31
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:26
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:30
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:28
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 13:29
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.44%E -2.09%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.37%E -5.82%K -19.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 13:29
FanDuel2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -6.89%E -2.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -3.28%E -2.16%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 13:30
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 13:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:30
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.25%E -2.84%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:29
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.91%EV -7.98%E -3.15%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 13:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.65%E -1.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 13:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:31
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.56%E -3.04%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.83%E -3.94%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:30
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.07%E -3.63%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.74%E -5.34%K -17.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 13:27
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%0.4%2026-06-15 13:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04%0.7%2026-06-15 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-15 13:31
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-06-15 13:31
Novig2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%2.8%2026-06-15 13:30
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%2.9%2026-06-15 13:30