Language:English
Maria Timofeeva v Renata Zarazua
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Timofeeva (Local)
Prediction 49.14%2.04fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%50.02%50.00%58.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.841.852.1061.73%54.25%54.05%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Renata Zarazua (Visit)
Prediction 50.86%1.97fair odd
EV +18.00%
Edge +7.76%
Kelly +13.64%
Growth +2.46%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.71%49.98%50.00%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.931.852.3259.88%51.90%54.05%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Timofeeva (Local): 49.14%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 50.86%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -18.43%E -11.10%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +18.00%E +7.76%K +13.64%G +2.46% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -18.43%E -11.10%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV +18.00%E +7.76%K +13.64%G +2.46% | 3.3% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -19.42%E -11.84%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +15.97%E +7.00%K +12.48%G +1.99% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -19.91%E -12.21%K -31.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +14.44%E +6.42%K +11.55%G +1.67% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -16.96%E -10.04%K -24.58%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV +13.43%E +6.02%K +10.92%G +1.47% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -20.40%E -12.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +11.90%E +5.41%K +9.92%G +1.18% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 10:46 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -20.40%E -12.59%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV +9.36%E +4.35%K +8.14%G +0.761% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.62%E -4.06%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -1.83%E -0.950%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -2.85%E -1.49%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.12%E -4.34%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.88%E -2.61%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -5.90%E -3.19%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.73%E -0.864%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.12%E -4.34%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.97%E -5.63%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.99%E -6.28%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.73%E -0.864%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.01%E -6.94%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.73%E -0.864%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.01%E -6.94%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.19%E +1.52%K +2.90%G +0.092% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -13.53%E -7.96%K -19.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV +0.729%E +0.356%K +0.695%G +0.005% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -15.06%E -9.02%K -22.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07% | 5.7% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |