La scuola delle quote

Madison Keys v Karolina Muchova

Inizio: 2026-06-18 13:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Madison Keys (Casa)

Previsione 47.94%2.09quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -0.841%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.38%48.15%47.91%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.961.952.0554.05%51.07%51.28%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karolina Muchova (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.06%1.92quota equa
EV -0.565%
Vantaggio -0.296%
Kelly -0.621%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.85%52.09%53.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.79%54.64%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.72%E -0.841%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -1.72%E -0.841%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 13:28
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 13:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:31
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 13:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.09%E -0.571%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.565%E -0.296%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 13:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 13:30
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.91%E -4.69%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 13:29
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.31%E -6.11%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%3.1%2026-06-18 13:30