L’École des cotes

Madison Keys v Karolina Muchova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 13:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 47.94%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.841%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.38%48.15%47.91%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.961.952.0554.05%51.07%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karolina Muchova (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.06%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.565%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.621%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.85%52.09%53.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.831.9157.80%54.79%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.72%E -0.841%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -1.72%E -0.841%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 13:28
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.17%E -1.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.12%E -2.06%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.94%E -5.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -4.60%E -2.31%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.21%E -2.29%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:29
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 13:30
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.57%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.65%E -1.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
BetRivers1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.25%E -2.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:31
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.52%E -3.34%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.33%E -4.12%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -7.48%E -3.87%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -5.77%E -3.19%K -7.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 13:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -1.09%E -0.571%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Betr (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -7.96%E -4.14%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.565%E -0.296%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-18 13:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 13:30
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.44%E -4.42%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 13:29
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.91%E -4.69%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.29%E -3.50%K -7.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 13:29
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -9.87%E -5.25%K -11.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.73%E -2.58%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.31%E -6.11%K -13.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.69%E -1.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66%1.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%3.1%2026-06-18 13:30