L’École des cotes

Katerina Siniakova v Rebeka Masarova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Prévision 61.05%1.64cote équitable
EV +11.73%
Avantage +6.41%
Kelly +14.13%
Croissance +1.66%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.14%60.78%60.90%65.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.521.511.8370.42%65.65%66.23%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rebeka Masarova (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.95%2.57cote équitable
EV +7.88%
Avantage +2.85%
Kelly +4.45%
Croissance +0.351%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.05%39.22%39.10%49.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.842.472.502.7754.35%40.43%40.00%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV +11.73%E +6.41%K +14.13%G +1.66%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -28.34%E -15.40%K -33.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 12:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +1.96%E +1.17%K +2.92%G +0.057%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.26%E -7.56%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.737%E +0.447%K +1.13%G +0.008%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 12:30
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.484%E -0.297%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:29
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.09%E -0.676%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.03%E -4.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.09%E -0.676%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 12:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.32%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.15%E -2.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.37%E -3.46%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 12:30
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.98%E -3.88%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-16 12:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%3.1%2026-06-16 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%3.1%2026-06-16 12:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 12:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:10
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 12:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%4.0%2026-06-16 12:05
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%4.0%2026-06-16 12:05
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +6.33%E +2.32%K +3.66%G +0.231%3.3%2026-06-16 12:22
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +2.04%E +0.779%K +1.26%G +0.026%4.8%2026-06-16 12:10
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017%5.0%2026-06-16 12:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%5.1%2026-06-16 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:30
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%EV -9.03%E -6.06%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -11.20%E -4.91%K -8.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -9.03%E -6.06%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-16 12:30
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%5.3%2026-06-16 12:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +2.82%E +1.07%K +1.72%G +0.049%5.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 12:19
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -10.25%E -6.97%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -1.85%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.25%E -6.97%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 12:30
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.86%E -7.44%K -23.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.88%E +2.85%K +4.45%G +0.351%4.6%2026-06-16 12:17
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +7.10%E +2.58%K +4.06%G +0.288%5.3%2026-06-16 12:22
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +5.16%E +1.91%K +3.03%G +0.156%6.0%2026-06-16 12:22
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%7.4%2026-06-16 12:18
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -12.08%E -8.39%K -27.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%7.2%2026-06-16 12:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.69%E -8.88%K -29.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%7.7%2026-06-16 11:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -13.31%E -9.37%K -31.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +7.10%E +2.58%K +4.06%G +0.288%6.8%2026-06-16 12:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30