La escuela de los momios

Katerina Siniakova v Rebeka Masarova

Inicio: 2026-06-16 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Local)

Predicción 61.05%1.64momio equitativo
EV +11.73%
Ventaja +6.41%
Kelly +14.13%
Crecimiento +1.66%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.14%60.78%60.90%65.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.521.511.8370.42%65.65%66.23%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rebeka Masarova (Visitante)

Predicción 38.95%2.57momio equitativo
EV +7.88%
Ventaja +2.85%
Kelly +4.45%
Crecimiento +0.351%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.05%39.22%39.10%49.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.842.472.502.7754.35%40.43%40.00%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV +11.73%E +6.41%K +14.13%G +1.66%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -28.34%E -15.40%K -33.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 12:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +1.96%E +1.17%K +2.92%G +0.057%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.26%E -7.56%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +0.737%E +0.447%K +1.13%G +0.008%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 12:30
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.484%E -0.297%K -0.768%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:29
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -1.09%E -0.676%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.03%E -4.34%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -1.09%E -0.676%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 12:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.32%E -1.45%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -4.15%E -2.64%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.36%E -2.21%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -4.76%E -3.05%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -7.31%E -3.07%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 12:30
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.37%E -3.46%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.47%E -3.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 12:30
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.98%E -3.88%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-16 12:30
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%3.1%2026-06-16 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%3.1%2026-06-16 12:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 12:30
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.59%E -4.31%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.42%E -4.53%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 12:10
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.20%E -4.74%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -12.37%E -5.50%K -9.90%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 12:30
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%4.0%2026-06-16 12:05
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%4.0%2026-06-16 12:05
Unibet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -7.81%E -5.17%K -15.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV +6.33%E +2.32%K +3.66%G +0.231%3.3%2026-06-16 12:22
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +2.04%E +0.779%K +1.26%G +0.026%4.8%2026-06-16 12:10
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV +1.65%E +0.633%K +1.03%G +0.017%5.0%2026-06-16 12:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%5.1%2026-06-16 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.685%E -0.268%K -0.442%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.63%E -1.05%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 12:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.42%E -5.61%K -16.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.53%E -2.72%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 12:30
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.48%EV -9.03%E -6.06%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -11.20%E -4.91%K -8.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -9.03%E -6.06%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -14.32%E -6.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-16 12:30
ReBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%5.3%2026-06-16 12:10
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.08%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.92%EV +2.82%E +1.07%K +1.72%G +0.049%5.4%2026-06-16 12:20
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%6.0%2026-06-16 12:19
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -9.64%E -6.51%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -10.25%E -6.97%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -1.85%E -0.735%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -10.25%E -6.97%K -21.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -4.58%E -1.87%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 12:30
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -10.86%E -7.44%K -23.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV +7.88%E +2.85%K +4.45%G +0.351%4.6%2026-06-16 12:17
Dabble (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +7.10%E +2.58%K +4.06%G +0.288%5.3%2026-06-16 12:22
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +5.16%E +1.91%K +3.03%G +0.156%6.0%2026-06-16 12:22
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -11.47%E -7.91%K -25.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +1.26%E +0.486%K +0.789%G +0.010%7.4%2026-06-16 12:18
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -12.08%E -8.39%K -27.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%7.2%2026-06-16 12:10
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -12.69%E -8.88%K -29.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV +3.21%E +1.21%K +1.95%G +0.062%7.7%2026-06-16 11:59
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -13.31%E -9.37%K -31.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +7.10%E +2.58%K +4.06%G +0.288%6.8%2026-06-16 12:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-16 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-06-16 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%5.4%2026-06-16 12:30
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%5.8%2026-06-16 12:30