La scuola delle quote

Katerina Siniakova v Lin Zhu

Inizio: 2026-06-15 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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24 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Katerina Siniakova (Casa)

Previsione 66.48%1.50quota equa
EV +13.67%
Vantaggio +8.00%
Kelly +19.26%
Crescita +2.63%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.12%66.48%65.71%75.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.401.401.7178.74%71.26%71.43%58.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lin Zhu (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.52%2.98quota equa
EV +30.07%
Vantaggio +7.75%
Kelly +10.44%
Crescita +3.14%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.66%33.52%34.29%44.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.902.773.8847.62%34.54%36.04%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -15.57%E -12.26%K -57.68%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV +30.07%E +7.75%K +10.44%G +3.14%4.5%2026-06-15 15:30
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +12.30%E +3.67%K +5.24%G +0.644%5.0%2026-06-15 15:30
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.63%E +3.22%K +4.62%G +0.491%5.5%2026-06-15 15:30
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.63%E +3.22%K +4.62%G +0.491%5.5%2026-06-15 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.63%E +3.22%K +4.62%G +0.491%5.5%2026-06-15 15:30
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.59%E -8.71%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.63%E +3.22%K +4.62%G +0.491%5.5%2026-06-15 15:30
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -13.58%E -10.45%K -45.27%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.28%EV +5.26%E +1.68%K +2.46%G +0.129%8.8%2026-06-15 15:49
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -1.11%E -0.375%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 15:48
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.78%E -0.959%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 15:48
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.45%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 16:00
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.27%E -2.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.46%E -1.56%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.13%E -2.19%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 16:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.61%E -2.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 16:00
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 16:00
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.26%E -5.99%K -21.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.81%E -2.84%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -2.28%E -1.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -9.49%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 16:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.49%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 16:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.93%E -4.95%K -17.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.49%E -3.51%K -5.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 16:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -4.27%E -2.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -11.83%E -4.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -4.27%E -2.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -11.83%E -4.50%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 16:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.27%E -2.97%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.17%E -4.64%K -7.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 16:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -3.61%E -2.49%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -12.84%E -4.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-15 15:50
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.60%E -3.95%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.84%E -4.94%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-15 16:00
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +13.67%E +8.00%K +19.26%G +2.63%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -29.60%E -14.10%K -26.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 15:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-06-15 16:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-06-15 16:01
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-06-15 16:01
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.9%2026-06-15 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.2%2026-06-15 16:01