L’École des cotes

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Anastasia Potapova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 52.61%1.90cote équitable
EV +5.75%
Avantage +2.86%
Kelly +5.69%
Croissance +0.327%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.97%52.42%52.62%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.772.0159.88%56.41%56.50%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.39%2.11cote équitable
EV +4.25%
Avantage +1.93%
Kelly +3.54%
Croissance +0.151%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%47.58%47.38%53.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.782.002.002.2056.18%50.02%50.00%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV +5.75%E +2.86%K +5.69%G +0.327%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -15.65%E -8.79%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:10
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -0.037%E -0.019%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -0.037%E -0.019%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -14.70%E -8.17%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.62%E -0.864%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:11
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.62%E -0.864%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.07%E -4.16%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -3.80%E -1.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 12:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 12:01
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 12:03
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:11
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:04
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:05
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:04
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -11.38%E -6.09%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 12:10
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.75%E -2.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.70%E -2.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 11:58
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.65%E -3.37%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:03
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:54
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:00
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.02%E -4.70%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.82%E -3.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.70%E -2.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:11
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:10
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.40%E -4.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -7.40%E -4.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.02%E -4.70%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-15 12:09
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:11
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:11
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:11
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:10
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:56
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -11.86%E -6.38%K -13.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-15 12:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 12:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 12:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.51%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 12:11
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 12:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 12:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 12:11
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.43%E -0.689%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -11.61%E -6.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -8.07%E -4.16%K -8.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-15 12:11
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.25%E +1.93%K +3.54%G +0.151%5.3%2026-06-15 12:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.486%E -0.231%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.486%E -0.231%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-15 12:11
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-06-15 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-15 12:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-15 12:11
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%6.0%2026-06-15 12:10