La escuela de los momios

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Anastasia Potapova

Inicio: 2026-06-15 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Predicción 52.61%1.90momio equitativo
EV +5.75%
Ventaja +2.86%
Kelly +5.69%
Crecimiento +0.327%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.97%52.42%52.62%56.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.771.772.0159.88%56.41%56.50%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anastasia Potapova (Visitante)

Predicción 47.39%2.11momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +1.93%
Kelly +3.54%
Crecimiento +0.151%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%47.58%47.38%53.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.002.002.2056.18%50.02%50.00%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV +5.75%E +2.86%K +5.69%G +0.327%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -15.65%E -8.79%K -20.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:10
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -0.037%E -0.019%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -0.037%E -0.019%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -14.70%E -8.17%K -18.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 12:10
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.62%E -0.864%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 12:11
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.62%E -0.864%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -8.07%E -4.16%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -2.14%E -1.15%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -3.80%E -1.87%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-15 12:01
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-15 12:01
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-15 12:03
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.49%E -4.97%K -10.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:11
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:04
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:05
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-15 12:04
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.68%EV -4.25%E -2.33%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -11.38%E -6.09%K -13.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 12:10
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.75%E -2.36%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 11:54
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.70%E -2.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-15 11:58
Betr (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -4.77%E -2.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -6.65%E -3.37%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-15 12:03
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:54
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:55
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 12:00
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -5.30%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -9.02%E -4.70%K -9.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:10
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.82%E -3.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.70%E -2.86%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:00
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:00
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 12:11
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:11
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.88%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 12:10
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.40%E -4.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.38%E -1.16%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-15 12:10
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -7.40%E -4.21%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.02%E -4.70%K -9.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-15 12:09
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:11
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 12:11
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:10
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:11
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -3.33%E -1.63%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 12:11
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 12:10
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.17%E -3.12%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:56
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.93%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:11
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -4.28%E -2.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 12:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -11.86%E -6.38%K -13.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-15 12:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 12:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 12:10
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.51%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 12:11
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 12:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.22%E -2.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 12:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -10.03%E -5.87%K -14.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -7.59%E -3.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 12:11
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -1.43%E -0.689%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-15 12:10
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 12:11
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -11.61%E -6.91%K -17.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -8.07%E -4.16%K -8.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-15 12:11
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.25%E +1.93%K +3.54%G +0.151%5.3%2026-06-15 12:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.486%E -0.231%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.486%E -0.231%K -0.442%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -12.14%E -7.27%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-15 12:11
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%0.1%2026-06-15 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-15 12:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-15 12:11
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-15 12:11
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%6.0%2026-06-15 12:10