Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Anhelina Kalinina

Kickoff: 2026-06-15 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 45.67%2.19fair odd
EV +0.481%
Edge +0.219%
Kelly +0.401%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.26%45.80%45.48%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.002.2052.63%49.48%50.00%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anhelina Kalinina (Visit)

Prediction 54.33%1.84fair odd
EV +0.504%
Edge +0.273%
Kelly +0.593%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.20%54.52%57.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.741.731.8562.11%57.55%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diane Parry (Local): 45.67%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 54.33%. For Anhelina Kalinina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.504%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV +0.504%E +0.273%K +0.593%G +0.003%4.1%2026-06-15 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.582%E -0.318%K -0.702%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -10.94%E -5.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -1.13%E -0.618%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 13:42
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -12.76%E -6.68%K -14.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 13:51
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -13.22%E -6.96%K -14.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -2.21%E -1.23%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 13:50
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.84%E -2.17%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 13:42
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -11.85%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -4.39%E -2.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-15 13:42
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.54%E -2.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-15 13:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.93%E -2.82%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 13:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.01%E -3.48%K -8.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 13:50
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 13:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.10%E -4.15%K -10.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 13:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-15 13:50
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.64%E -4.50%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 13:50
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.27%E -5.55%K -13.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-15 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.09%E -1.95%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-15 13:50
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.36%E -6.28%K -15.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-15 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +0.481%E +0.219%K +0.401%G +0.002%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -12.53%E -7.79%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-06-15 13:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-06-15 13:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-06-15 13:51
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%8.2%2026-06-15 13:51
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%8.7%2026-06-15 13:51