Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yeonwoo Ku v Karolina Pliskova

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

33%

67%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yeonwoo Ku (Local)

Prediction 32.67%3.06fair odd

EV +284.19%

Edge +24.17%

Kelly +26.41%

Growth +75.06%

assuming max odds 11.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.20%27.00%32.67%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.705.042.8511.7637.04%19.84%35.09%8.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karolina Pliskova (Visit)

Prediction 67.33%1.49fair odd

EV -4.39%

Edge -3.09%

Kelly -10.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.53%73.00%67.33%91.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.051.311.381.4295.24%76.48%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yeonwoo Ku (Local): 32.67%; Karolina Pliskova (Visit): 67.33%. For Yeonwoo Ku (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +284.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	11.76I 8.50%NM 8.20%EV +284.19%E +24.17%K +26.41%G +75.06%	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -29.30%E -27.91%K -586.06%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-19 09:10
BoyleSports🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.99%E -0.664%K -0.996%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.43%E -6.20%K -23.42%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-19 09:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.39%E -3.09%K -10.45%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-19 09:50
Betway🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.79%E -4.37%K -6.94%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.74%E -4.10%K -14.34%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-19 09:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	3.34I 29.94%NM 27.39%	1.26I 79.37%NM 72.61%	9.3%	2026-05-19 09:50