Language:English
Victoria Mboko v Madison Keys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Victoria Mboko (Local)
Prediction 50.26%1.99fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.490%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.76%50.30%50.20%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9855.56%53.08%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Madison Keys (Visit)
Prediction 49.74%2.01fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.525%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.70%49.80%52.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.911.912.0055.25%52.46%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 50.26%; Madison Keys (Visit): 49.74%. For Victoria Mboko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.98, with an expected value of -0.480%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.76%EV -0.480%E -0.243%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.24%EV -9.98%E -5.51%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.02%E -1.02%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -2.51%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.00%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.13%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.87%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 17:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.51%E -3.50%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.00%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.99%E -4.32%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.01%E -3.79%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.98%E -4.91%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -7.52%E -4.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-30 17:07 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.74%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 17:07 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.38%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.98%E -4.91%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -8.52%E -4.68%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.525%E -0.262%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 17:10 |