L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Katerina Siniakova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 61.46%1.63cote équitable
EV +4.48%
Avantage +2.64%
Kelly +6.40%
Croissance +0.287%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%61.61%61.64%73.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.511.501.7075.76%66.15%66.67%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Katerina Siniakova (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.54%2.59cote équitable
EV +39.13%
Avantage +10.84%
Kelly +14.99%
Croissance +5.87%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%38.39%38.36%44.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.492.493.6147.62%40.11%40.16%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 73.23%EV -18.87%E -14.30%K -58.98%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.77%EV +39.13%E +10.84%K +14.99%G +5.87%3.5%2026-05-28 18:40
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -13.96%E -9.97%K -34.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +17.55%E +5.75%K +8.56%G +1.50%4.2%2026-05-28 18:50
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.13%E +0.805%K +1.29%G +0.028%5.3%2026-05-28 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.13%E +0.805%K +1.29%G +0.028%5.3%2026-05-28 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.13%E +0.805%K +1.29%G +0.028%5.3%2026-05-28 18:49
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.13%E +0.805%K +1.29%G +0.028%5.3%2026-05-28 18:49
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -9.04%E -6.11%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +2.13%E +0.805%K +1.29%G +0.028%5.3%2026-05-28 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV +1.36%E +0.518%K +0.836%G +0.011%6.1%2026-05-28 18:49
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.88%E -7.51%K -24.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.207%E +0.080%K +0.129%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.72%E -0.675%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 18:47
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.72%E -0.675%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 18:50
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -1.72%E -0.675%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -12.11%E -8.47%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -1.72%E -0.675%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 18:49
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -12.11%E -8.47%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -1.72%E -0.675%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -9.66%E -6.57%K -20.54%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -2.88%E -1.14%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-28 18:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 18:49
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 18:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 18:50
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 18:49
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 18:49
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -13.34%E -9.46%K -32.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-28 18:49
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.35%E -3.48%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 18:47
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -7.20%E -4.77%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 18:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 18:49
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:49
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:50
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:50
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.81%E -5.21%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -10.27%E -7.03%K -22.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -5.57%E -2.28%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 18:49
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -8.43%E -5.66%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-28 18:50
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.50%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 18:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.27%E -3.48%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.97%E -3.90%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.27%E -3.48%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -12.11%E -8.47%K -28.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.83%EV -9.43%E -4.01%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-28 18:49
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 18:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.51%E -2.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-28 18:50
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.74%E -3.06%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.36%E -4.94%K -8.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 18:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.437%E -0.269%K -0.704%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -13.28%E -5.90%K -10.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.67%E -1.04%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -15.21%E -6.91%K -12.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 18:48
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +1.41%E +0.853%K +2.16%G +0.030%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -17.14%E -7.97%K -14.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +4.48%E +2.64%K +6.40%G +0.287%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -19.06%E -9.08%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +2.64%E +1.58%K +3.93%G +0.104%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -19.06%E -9.08%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-28 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-28 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-28 18:49
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-05-28 18:50
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-05-28 18:49
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%6.2%2026-05-28 18:50