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Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Elena Pridankina

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prediction 54.41%1.84fair odd
EV +5.01%
Edge +2.60%
Kelly +5.39%
Growth +0.270%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.67%55.74%51.31%67.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.771.841.9371.43%56.34%54.35%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elena Pridankina (Visit)

Prediction 45.59%2.19fair odd
EV +29.93%
Edge +10.50%
Kelly +16.18%
Growth +4.84%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.94%44.26%48.69%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.782.051.902.8556.18%48.88%52.49%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 54.41%; Elena Pridankina (Visit): 45.59%. For Elena Pridankina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -23.82%E -17.02%K -59.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV +29.93%E +10.50%K +16.18%G +4.84%6.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -21.65%E -15.03%K -49.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +18.53%E +7.13%K +11.58%G +2.15%7.9%2026-05-18 08:35
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV +1.75%E +0.936%K +2.01%G +0.035%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -9.28%E -4.66%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-18 08:10
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +2.29%E +1.22%K +2.61%G +0.060%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -12.01%E -6.23%K -12.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 07:59
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -0.426%E -0.233%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -12.93%E -6.77%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +0.662%E +0.358%K +0.779%G +0.005%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -13.38%E -7.04%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 07:59
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +5.01%E +2.60%K +5.39%G +0.270%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -14.29%E -7.60%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 07:59
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV +5.01%E +2.60%K +5.39%G +0.270%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -16.57%E -9.06%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:17
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -0.971%E -0.533%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%EV -18.40%E -10.28%K -23.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-18 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.72%EV -2.06%E -1.14%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -18.85%E -10.59%K -24.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%4.5%2026-05-18 08:00