L’École des cotes

Tereza Valentova v Magda Linette

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Prévision 62.47%1.60cote équitable
EV +5.57%
Avantage +3.30%
Kelly +8.08%
Croissance +0.450%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.87%64.39%60.36%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.441.501.6980.65%69.57%66.67%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magda Linette (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.53%2.66cote équitable
EV +50.12%
Avantage +12.53%
Kelly +16.71%
Croissance +8.37%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%35.61%39.64%44.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.902.504.0047.62%34.53%40.00%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -21.91%E -17.53%K -87.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +50.12%E +12.53%K +16.71%G +8.37%5.0%2026-05-24 12:08
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +49.75%E +12.47%K +16.64%G +8.28%3.2%2026-05-24 12:10
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -21.91%E -17.53%K -87.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +47.12%E +12.02%K +16.14%G +7.60%5.5%2026-05-24 11:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +46.37%E +11.89%K +15.99%G +7.41%3.8%2026-05-24 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -22.54%E -18.18%K -93.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +46.37%E +11.89%K +15.99%G +7.41%6.3%2026-05-24 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -20.66%E -16.27%K -76.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +44.49%E +11.56%K +15.61%G +6.95%4.7%2026-05-24 11:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -20.66%E -16.27%K -76.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +42.62%E +11.21%K +15.22%G +6.49%5.1%2026-05-24 12:07
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 11:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +40.36%E +10.79%K +14.73%G +5.95%4.9%2026-05-24 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +39.99%E +10.72%K +14.65%G +5.86%4.3%2026-05-24 12:08
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +39.99%E +10.72%K +14.65%G +5.86%4.3%2026-05-24 12:08
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -16.92%E -12.72%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +35.86%E +9.91%K +13.69%G +4.91%2.8%2026-05-24 11:59
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +35.11%E +9.75%K +13.50%G +4.74%5.3%2026-05-24 12:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +33.23%E +9.36%K +13.03%G +4.33%6.3%2026-05-24 12:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -16.92%E -12.72%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +27.60%E +8.12%K +11.50%G +3.17%4.6%2026-05-24 12:16
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.21%E +1.17%K +1.83%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -11.92%E -8.45%K -29.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -1.29%E -0.492%K -0.794%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 12:19
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -1.67%E -0.637%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.04%E -6.97%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.67%E -0.637%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:20
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -9.55%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 12:19
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.92%E -4.64%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -11.05%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 12:19
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 12:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.92%E -1.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:20
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +0.576%E +0.358%K +0.944%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -15.56%E -6.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.92%E -1.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.56%E -6.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 12:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.20%E +0.741%K +1.94%G +0.023%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.43%E -7.92%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:20
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV +5.57%E +3.30%K +8.08%G +0.450%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -19.68%E -9.20%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -21.19%E -10.09%K -19.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%7.7%2026-05-24 12:20
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%7.8%2026-05-24 12:20