La escuela de los momios

Tereza Valentova v Magda Linette

Inicio: 2026-05-24 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tereza Valentova (Local)

Predicción 62.47%1.60momio equitativo
EV +5.57%
Ventaja +3.30%
Kelly +8.08%
Crecimiento +0.450%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%64.39%60.36%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.441.501.6980.65%69.57%66.67%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Predicción 37.53%2.66momio equitativo
EV +50.12%
Ventaja +12.53%
Kelly +16.71%
Crecimiento +8.37%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%35.61%39.64%44.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.902.504.0047.62%34.53%40.00%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -21.91%E -17.53%K -87.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +50.12%E +12.53%K +16.71%G +8.37%5.0%2026-05-24 12:08
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +49.75%E +12.47%K +16.64%G +8.28%3.2%2026-05-24 12:10
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV +48.25%E +12.21%K +16.35%G +7.89%4.7%2026-05-24 11:56
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -21.91%E -17.53%K -87.65%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV +47.12%E +12.02%K +16.14%G +7.60%5.5%2026-05-24 11:59
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +46.37%E +11.89%K +15.99%G +7.41%3.8%2026-05-24 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -22.54%E -18.18%K -93.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV +46.37%E +11.89%K +15.99%G +7.41%6.3%2026-05-24 11:59
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -20.66%E -16.27%K -76.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +44.49%E +11.56%K +15.61%G +6.95%4.7%2026-05-24 11:59
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -20.66%E -16.27%K -76.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +42.62%E +11.21%K +15.22%G +6.49%5.1%2026-05-24 12:07
Neds1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Betr (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -21.29%E -16.90%K -81.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV +40.74%E +10.86%K +14.81%G +6.04%6.0%2026-05-24 11:59
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +40.36%E +10.79%K +14.73%G +5.95%4.9%2026-05-24 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +39.99%E +10.72%K +14.65%G +5.86%4.3%2026-05-24 12:08
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +39.99%E +10.72%K +14.65%G +5.86%4.3%2026-05-24 12:08
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -16.92%E -12.72%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV +35.86%E +9.91%K +13.69%G +4.91%2.8%2026-05-24 11:59
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -19.41%E -15.05%K -66.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +35.11%E +9.75%K +13.50%G +4.74%5.3%2026-05-24 12:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -20.04%E -15.66%K -71.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +33.23%E +9.36%K +13.03%G +4.33%6.3%2026-05-24 12:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -16.92%E -12.72%K -51.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +27.60%E +8.12%K +11.50%G +3.17%4.6%2026-05-24 12:16
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +3.21%E +1.17%K +1.83%G +0.059%5.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -11.92%E -8.45%K -29.07%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -1.29%E -0.492%K -0.794%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 12:19
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -1.67%E -0.637%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 12:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.04%E -6.97%K -22.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.67%E -0.637%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 12:20
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.17%E -2.47%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 12:20
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.05%E -3.32%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.67%E -3.76%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.17%E -5.56%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.05%E -3.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -9.55%E -3.96%K -6.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 12:19
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.92%E -4.64%K -14.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.93%E -4.14%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 12:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.42%E -2.89%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.68%E -4.49%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 12:20
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -11.05%E -4.66%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.30%E -4.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 12:19
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.42%E -6.50%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.80%E -5.02%K -8.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 12:20
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 12:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.674%E -0.424%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 12:20
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.92%E -1.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.17%E -2.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.68%E -5.95%K -10.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 12:20
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV +0.576%E +0.358%K +0.944%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -15.56%E -6.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -1.92%E -1.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.56%E -6.91%K -12.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 12:20
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +1.20%E +0.741%K +1.94%G +0.023%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -17.43%E -7.92%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 12:20
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV +5.57%E +3.30%K +8.08%G +0.450%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -19.68%E -9.20%K -17.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -3.80%E -2.47%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -21.19%E -10.09%K -19.26%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-24 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-05-24 12:20
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%7.7%2026-05-24 12:20
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%7.8%2026-05-24 12:20