Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Teodora Kostovic v Elizabeth Mandlik

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

69%

31%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Teodora Kostovic (Local)

Prediction 69.10%1.45fair odd

EV -3.27%

Edge -2.33%

Kelly -8.17%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.18%69.08%69.19%69.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.71%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit)

Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd

EV -2.96%

Edge -0.942%

Kelly -1.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.68%30.92%30.81%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.923.013.003.1434.25%33.22%33.33%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Teodora Kostovic (Local): 69.10%; Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit): 30.90%. For Elizabeth Mandlik (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.14, with an expected value of -2.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
PlayUp🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-19 11:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.32%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000%	3.14I 31.85%NM 30.68%EV -2.96%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-19 11:10
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-19 11:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-19 11:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.10%E -6.09%K -24.56%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-05-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.19%EV -10.18%E -7.83%K -33.92%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 30.81%EV -9.76%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-05-19 11:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%	3.2%	2026-05-19 11:10