L’École des cotes

Tamara Korpatsch v Xinyu Wang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Prévision 53.58%1.87cote équitable
EV +15.20%
Avantage +7.07%
Kelly +13.22%
Croissance +2.01%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%53.82%53.66%61.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.801.792.1564.94%55.58%55.87%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Xinyu Wang (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.42%2.15cote équitable
EV +13.26%
Avantage +5.43%
Kelly +9.21%
Croissance +1.22%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.69%46.18%46.34%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.981.952.4458.82%50.47%51.28%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +15.20%E +7.07%K +13.22%G +2.01%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -21.09%E -12.41%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +7.70%E +3.83%K +7.62%G +0.587%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -15.52%E -8.53%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +5.02%E +2.56%K +5.23%G +0.263%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -15.05%E -8.23%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +5.02%E +2.56%K +5.23%G +0.263%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -15.05%E -8.23%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +4.48%E +2.30%K +4.72%G +0.212%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +4.48%E +2.30%K +4.72%G +0.212%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -15.98%E -8.83%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +3.41%E +1.77%K +3.67%G +0.125%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 09:10
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:04
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:20
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV +1.81%E +0.950%K +2.01%G +0.036%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:56
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.81%E +0.950%K +2.01%G +0.036%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 08:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +0.198%E +0.106%K +0.228%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -10.88%E -5.67%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:10
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.198%E +0.106%K +0.228%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.20%E -7.06%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:59
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -0.338%E -0.182%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:08
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -0.338%E -0.182%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.874%E -0.472%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:03
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.56%E -4.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -4.62%E -2.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 09:14
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 09:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -5.70%E -3.24%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:19
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.56%E -4.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 09:18
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 09:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.201%E -0.093%K -0.175%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.45%E -1.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.45%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.201%E -0.093%K -0.175%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 09:19
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -3.91%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 09:19
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -2.99%E -1.43%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -12.13%E -7.39%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-27 09:19
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.73%E -8.53%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.12%E +0.964%K +1.77%G +0.037%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.80%E -9.31%K -25.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.76%E +2.94%K +5.20%G +0.352%6.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -15.88%E -10.11%K -27.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +4.44%E +1.97%K +3.55%G +0.158%8.1%2026-05-27 09:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -17.48%E -11.35%K -32.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV +13.26%E +5.43%K +9.21%G +1.22%5.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-27 09:20
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%6.2%2026-05-27 09:16