La escuela de los momios

Tamara Korpatsch v Xinyu Wang

Inicio: 2026-05-27 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tamara Korpatsch (Local)

Predicción 53.58%1.87momio equitativo
EV +15.20%
Ventaja +7.07%
Kelly +13.22%
Crecimiento +2.01%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%53.82%53.66%61.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.801.792.1564.94%55.58%55.87%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Xinyu Wang (Visitante)

Predicción 46.42%2.15momio equitativo
EV +13.26%
Ventaja +5.43%
Kelly +9.21%
Crecimiento +1.22%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.69%46.18%46.34%55.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.981.952.4458.82%50.47%51.28%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +15.20%E +7.07%K +13.22%G +2.01%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -21.09%E -12.41%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +7.70%E +3.83%K +7.62%G +0.587%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -15.52%E -8.53%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +5.02%E +2.56%K +5.23%G +0.263%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -15.05%E -8.23%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV +5.02%E +2.56%K +5.23%G +0.263%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -15.05%E -8.23%K -18.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:09
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +4.48%E +2.30%K +4.72%G +0.212%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV +4.48%E +2.30%K +4.72%G +0.212%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -15.98%E -8.83%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +3.41%E +1.77%K +3.67%G +0.125%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 09:10
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 09:10
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:04
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:20
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:20
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +2.34%E +1.23%K +2.57%G +0.060%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 09:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV +1.81%E +0.950%K +2.01%G +0.036%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:56
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +1.81%E +0.950%K +2.01%G +0.036%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:10
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 08:58
Everygame1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 08:59
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +0.734%E +0.390%K +0.834%G +0.006%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 08:59
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV +0.198%E +0.106%K +0.228%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -10.88%E -5.67%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:10
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +0.198%E +0.106%K +0.228%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -13.20%E -7.06%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-27 08:59
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -0.338%E -0.182%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:08
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -0.338%E -0.182%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:10
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.874%E -0.472%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:03
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -1.95%E -1.06%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -11.81%E -6.21%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.48%E -1.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.56%E -4.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.34%E -5.94%K -12.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Bally Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.01%EV -4.09%E -2.28%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.99%EV -9.95%E -5.13%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -4.62%E -2.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -9.02%E -4.60%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 09:14
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -9.48%E -4.86%K -9.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-27 09:20
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.16%E -2.92%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -5.70%E -3.24%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -10.41%E -5.40%K -11.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:19
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -6.77%E -3.89%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.56%E -4.34%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 09:18
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 09:20
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -12.73%E -6.77%K -14.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.38%E -4.90%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -2.52%E -1.20%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 09:19
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.201%E -0.093%K -0.175%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -3.45%E -1.66%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.84%E -2.36%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.45%E -5.59%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.201%E -0.093%K -0.175%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-27 09:19
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -3.91%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-27 09:19
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.52%E -6.30%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -2.99%E -1.43%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -12.13%E -7.39%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -7.16%E -3.58%K -7.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-27 09:19
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.73%E -8.53%K -22.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.12%E +0.964%K +1.77%G +0.037%7.6%2026-05-27 09:20
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -14.80%E -9.31%K -25.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +6.76%E +2.94%K +5.20%G +0.352%6.4%2026-05-27 09:20
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -15.88%E -10.11%K -27.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +4.44%E +1.97%K +3.55%G +0.158%8.1%2026-05-27 09:20
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -17.48%E -11.35%K -32.38%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV +13.26%E +5.43%K +9.21%G +1.22%5.9%2026-05-27 09:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-27 09:20
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-27 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-27 09:20
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-05-27 09:20
Novig1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%6.2%2026-05-27 09:16