Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tahlia Kokkinis v Storm Hunter

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 16:54 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

19%

81%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tahlia Kokkinis (Local)

Prediction 19.09%5.24fair odd

EV -4.17%

Edge -0.831%

Kelly -1.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.78%19.83%19.14%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.714.855.0225.00%21.25%20.62%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Storm Hunter (Visit)

Prediction 80.91%1.24fair odd

EV -2.91%

Edge -2.42%

Kelly -14.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.92%80.17%80.86%81.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.171.171.2090.09%85.56%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tahlia Kokkinis (Local): 19.09%; Storm Hunter (Visit): 80.91%. For Storm Hunter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.20, with an expected value of -2.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	5.02I 19.92%NM 19.16%EV -4.17%E -0.831%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.84%EV -3.72%E -3.12%K -19.56%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.55%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.56%K -31.38%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-19 16:49
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.55%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.33%E -4.56%K -31.38%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-19 16:10
theScore Bet🎯	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.46%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.14%E -5.30%K -38.40%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.78%EV -8.37%E -1.74%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -10.19%E -9.18%K -92.63%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-05-19 16:45
NordicBet🎯	4.73I 21.14%NM 19.83%EV -9.71%E -2.05%K -2.60%G +0.000%	1.17I 85.47%NM 80.17%EV -5.33%E -4.56%K -31.38%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-19 16:09
Fliff🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -19.83%E -4.72%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -4.53%E -3.83%K -25.14%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-19 16:50
BoyleSports🎯	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -23.64%E -5.91%K -7.88%G +0.000%	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -2.91%E -2.42%K -14.53%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-19 16:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	5.43I 18.42%NM 17.10%	1.12I 89.29%NM 82.90%	7.7%	2026-05-19 16:49