Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 3.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Susan Bandecchi (Local): 62.86%; Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit): 37.14%. For Viktoria Hruncakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.43%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV +10.00%E +5.71%K +13.33%G +1.33% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -20.52%E -9.59%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +9.37%E +5.39%K +12.67%G +1.19% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -22.00%E -10.48%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +7.49%E +4.38%K +10.54%G +0.789% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -20.14%E -9.37%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV +6.86%E +4.03%K +9.80%G +0.672% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -20.14%E -9.37%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV +4.97%E +2.98%K +7.42%G +0.369% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -20.89%E -9.81%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV +2.46%E +1.51%K +3.90%G +0.096% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -23.86%E -11.64%K -22.72%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-22 08:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.97%E -4.71%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.86%E -4.52%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.86%E -6.11%K -19.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.29%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -12.00%E -8.57%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +4.00%E +1.43%K +2.22%G +0.089% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -12.00%E -8.57%K -30.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV +0.284%E +0.105%K +0.167%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -14.51%E -10.67%K -40.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +11.43%E +3.81%K +5.71%G +0.653% | 6.9% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 09:10 |