Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Susan Bandecchi v Chloe Paquet

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Susan Bandecchi (Local)

Prediction 47.87%2.09fair odd

EV +3.87%

Edge +1.79%

Kelly +3.31%

Growth +0.128%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.59%47.78%48.26%51.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.811.971.962.1755.25%50.74%50.89%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chloe Paquet (Visit)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd

EV +1.66%

Edge +0.849%

Kelly +1.74%

Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.80%52.22%51.74%57.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.611.771.771.9562.11%56.59%56.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Susan Bandecchi (Local): 47.87%; Chloe Paquet (Visit): 52.13%. For Susan Bandecchi (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
NordicBet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV +3.87%E +1.79%K +3.31%G +0.128%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -16.07%E -9.98%K -26.34%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-18 17:35
theScore Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.524%E +0.250%K +0.477%G +0.002%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.94%E -7.75%K -19.31%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-18 17:35
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV +0.524%E +0.250%K +0.477%G +0.002%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -13.98%E -8.47%K -21.51%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-18 17:35
Fliff🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.87%E -0.912%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -13.98%E -8.47%K -21.51%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-05-18 17:35
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.26%E -2.13%K -4.26%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.77%E -5.01%K -11.69%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-18 17:35
PlayUp🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -7.61%E -3.94%K -8.19%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.99%E -1.06%K -2.26%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-18 17:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -9.05%E -4.76%K -10.06%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV +1.66%E +0.849%K +1.74%G +0.029%	3.9%	2026-05-18 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -12.40%E -6.78%K -14.94%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV +0.092%E +0.048%K +0.100%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-18 17:24
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%EV -12.88%E -7.08%K -15.71%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%EV -6.68%E -3.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-05-18 17:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -13.36%E -7.38%K -16.49%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.16%E -3.42%K -7.70%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-05-18 17:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%	1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%	2.0%	2026-05-18 17:30