Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Storm Hunter v Xiyu Wang

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

11%

89%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Storm Hunter (Local)

Prediction 10.79%9.27fair odd

EV +4.62%

Edge +0.476%

Kelly +0.531%

Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 9.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

9.51%10.79%10.27%12.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

8.118.919.009.7012.33%11.22%11.11%10.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Xiyu Wang (Visit)

Prediction 89.21%1.12fair odd

EV -0.080%

Edge -0.071%

Kelly -0.664%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.87%89.21%89.73%90.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.021.051.031.1298.04%95.24%97.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 10.79%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 89.21%. For Storm Hunter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.27. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.62%.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Fliff🎯	9.70I 10.31%NM 9.51%EV +4.62%E +0.476%K +0.531%G +0.025%	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.49%EV -9.00%E -8.82%K -450.05%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-20 13:49
theScore Bet🎯	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +2.46%E +0.259%K +0.290%G +0.007%	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -6.32%E -6.02%K -126.49%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-20 13:49
Betway🎯	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -2.93%E -0.326%K -0.366%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -8.11%E -7.87%K -270.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-20 13:49
NordicBet🎯	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -11.02%E -1.34%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -8.11%E -7.87%K -270.30%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-05-20 13:49
Pinnacle🎯	8.11I 12.33%NM 12.13%EV -12.53%E -1.55%K -1.76%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 87.87%EV -0.080%E -0.071%K -0.664%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-05-20 13:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	7.40I 13.51%NM 12.63%	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.37%	7.0%	2026-05-20 13:46