Language:English
Sofia Kenin v Peyton Stearns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sofia Kenin (Local)
Prediction 35.04%2.85fair odd
EV -0.484%
Edge -0.170%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.90%35.13%36.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.692.652.8438.46%37.19%37.74%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visit)
Prediction 64.96%1.54fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.41%65.10%64.87%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.471.5070.42%68.37%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sofia Kenin (Local): 35.04%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 64.96%. For Sofia Kenin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.84, with an expected value of -0.484%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -0.484%E -0.170%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -7.76%E -5.46%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.18%E -0.420%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.16%E -3.53%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -1.18%E -0.420%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -5.16%E -3.53%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.89%E -0.673%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.81%E -4.01%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -1.89%E -0.673%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.11%E -4.97%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -1.89%E -0.673%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.76%E -5.46%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.13%EV -2.94%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.87%EV -2.56%E -1.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -2.94%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -5.16%E -3.53%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -2.56%E -1.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -3.21%E -2.15%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:16 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.64%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -4.69%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -4.69%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.16%E -3.53%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.81%E -4.01%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.39%E -2.00%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.81%E -4.01%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -6.09%E -2.27%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.21%E -2.15%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV -6.44%E -2.41%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -5.81%E -4.01%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 16:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.21%E -2.15%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.86%E -2.61%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.16%E -3.53%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.81%E -4.01%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-24 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -4.51%E -3.07%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -2.56%E -1.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.46%E -4.49%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 0.7% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.57% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.43% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 16:30 |