The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sinja Kraus v Celine Naef

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sinja Kraus (Local)

Prediction 71.11%1.41fair odd
EV -0.453%
Edge -0.323%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%70.56%71.11%72.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.321.4078.74%75.28%75.76%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celine Naef (Visit)

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.486%
Kelly +0.679%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%29.44%28.89%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.5234.72%30.82%30.77%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sinja Kraus (Local): 71.11%; Celine Naef (Visit): 28.89%. For Celine Naef (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -6.14%E -4.65%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.71%E +0.486%K +0.679%G +0.012%4.2%2026-05-18 10:40
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.99%EV -4.01%E -2.97%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 28.01%EV +0.265%E +0.076%K +0.107%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-18 10:35
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.14%E -4.65%K -19.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.85%E -5.23%K -22.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 10:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.70%E -7.64%K -35.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-18 10:35
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -0.453%E -0.323%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -16.78%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%4.1%2026-05-18 10:43