Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek v Sloane Stephens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prévision 59.25%1.69cote équitable
EV +0.729%
Avantage +0.429%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.63%59.30%59.09%63.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.611.611.7066.23%62.27%62.11%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sloane Stephens (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.75%2.45cote équitable
EV +5.13%
Avantage +1.99%
Kelly +3.25%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.92%40.70%40.91%43.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.222.322.322.5845.05%43.03%43.10%38.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sara Bejlek (Local) : 59.25% ; Sloane Stephens (Visiteur) : 40.75%. Pour Sloane Stephens (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.45. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.58, soit une espérance positive de +5.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +5.13%E +1.99%K +3.25%G +0.166%5.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.169%E -0.069%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -1.39%E -0.575%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 16:10
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:10
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.06%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:07
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.05%E -0.628%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:09
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.50%E -3.31%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:09
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +0.729%E +0.429%K +1.04%G +0.008%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +0.729%E +0.429%K +1.04%G +0.008%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-24 16:10