La escuela de los momios

Sara Bejlek v Sloane Stephens

Inicio: 2026-05-24 16:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Predicción 59.25%1.69momio equitativo
EV +0.729%
Ventaja +0.429%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.63%59.30%59.09%63.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.611.611.7066.23%62.27%62.11%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sloane Stephens (Visitante)

Predicción 40.75%2.45momio equitativo
EV +5.13%
Ventaja +1.99%
Kelly +3.25%
Crecimiento +0.166%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.92%40.70%40.91%43.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.222.322.322.5845.05%43.03%43.10%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -10.53%E -6.97%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV +5.13%E +1.99%K +3.25%G +0.166%5.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.169%E -0.069%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:09
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -1.39%E -0.575%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 16:10
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.16%E -5.26%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.21%E -0.919%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -2.23%E -1.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-24 16:10
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 16:10
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.43%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:10
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.20%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.80%EV -3.84%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -3.42%E -2.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.06%E -2.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 16:07
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-24 16:10
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.05%E -0.628%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:10
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:09
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:09
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:09
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:09
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 16:09
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV -7.50%E -3.31%K -5.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:09
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.01%E -2.48%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Betway1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.79%E -3.64%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:10
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +0.729%E +0.429%K +1.04%G +0.008%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:10
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +0.729%E +0.429%K +1.04%G +0.008%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -9.54%E -4.30%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-05-24 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-05-24 16:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-24 16:10