Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova v Maria Lourdes Carle

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

77%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebeka Masarova (Local)

Prediction 77.45%1.29fair odd

EV -4.73%

Edge -3.85%

Kelly -20.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.63%77.43%77.45%78.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.201.211.221.2383.33%82.45%81.97%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit)

Prediction 22.55%4.44fair odd

EV -0.565%

Edge -0.128%

Kelly -0.166%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.81%22.57%22.55%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.224.274.4125.00%23.70%23.42%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebeka Masarova (Local): 77.45%; Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit): 22.55%. For Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.41, with an expected value of -0.565%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -4.73%E -3.85%K -20.58%G +0.000%	4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -0.565%E -0.128%K -0.166%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.51%E -4.51%K -25.04%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-19 16:09
GTbets🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.78%EV -5.51%E -4.51%K -25.04%G +0.000%	4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV -3.72%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-19 16:10
Betway🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.51%E -4.51%K -25.04%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 16:10
NordicBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.05%E -0.708%K -0.923%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-19 16:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.17%E -0.982%K -1.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-05-19 16:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.06%E -5.88%K -35.29%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.81%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-19 16:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.19I 84.03%NM 78.28%	4.29I 23.31%NM 21.72%	7.3%	2026-05-19 16:10