The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rebecca Sramkova v Maria Lourdes Carle

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova (Local)

Prediction 84.11%1.19fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -5.18%
Kelly -48.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.58%84.98%84.11%88.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.111.111.1291.74%90.44%90.09%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit)

Prediction 15.89%6.29fair odd
EV +30.81%
Edge +3.74%
Kelly +4.26%
Growth +1.31%

assuming max odds 8.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.88%15.02%15.89%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.266.008.2317.54%15.99%16.67%12.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 84.11%; Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit): 15.89%. For Maria Lourdes Carle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +30.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 88.12%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.39%G +0.000%8.23I 12.15%NM 11.88%EV +30.81%E +3.74%K +4.26%G +1.31%2.2%2026-05-22 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.97%EV -8.32%E -7.64%K -92.50%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.03%EV -2.09%E -0.339%K -0.405%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.63%E -0.772%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.64%E -5.98%K -60.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.63%E -0.772%K -0.927%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:40
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.52%EV -8.32%E -7.64%K -92.50%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.48%EV -5.43%E -0.912%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 12:50
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -7.48%E -6.80%K -74.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.61%E -1.50%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.80%E -5.18%K -48.35%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -9.40%E -1.65%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-05-22 12:50
Smarkets◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.24%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-05-22 12:50
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%5.4%2026-05-22 12:50