Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova v Kayla Cross

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

80%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rebecca Sramkova (Local)

Prediction 80.33%1.24fair odd

EV -3.60%

Edge -3.00%

Kelly -18.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

79.31%80.36%80.54%81.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.141.171.161.2087.72%85.74%86.21%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kayla Cross (Visit)

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd

EV +1.10%

Edge +0.214%

Kelly +0.266%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 5.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.80%19.64%19.46%20.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.504.704.605.1422.22%21.28%21.74%19.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 80.33%; Kayla Cross (Visit): 19.67%. For Kayla Cross (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.20%EV -4.41%E -3.70%K -23.19%G +0.000%	5.14I 19.46%NM 18.80%EV +1.10%E +0.214%K +0.266%G +0.003%	3.5%	2026-05-19 18:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.61%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 18:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.17%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.59%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-19 18:49
PlayUp🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.60%E -3.00%K -18.02%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -9.52%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-19 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.21%E -4.42%K -28.95%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.52%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-19 18:39
Fliff🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.80%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.52%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-05-19 18:49
NordicBet🎯	1.16I 86.21%NM 79.72%EV -6.82%E -5.88%K -42.61%G +0.000%	4.56I 21.93%NM 20.28%EV -10.31%E -2.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-19 18:49
Betway🎯	1.15I 86.96%NM 79.65%EV -7.62%E -6.63%K -50.80%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -11.49%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-05-19 18:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.52%	5.38I 18.59%NM 17.48%	6.3%	2026-05-19 18:50