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Polina Kudermetova v Xiyu Wang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Polina Kudermetova (Local)
assuming max odds 2.33
Xiyu Wang (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.93
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 44.79%; Xiyu Wang (Visit): 55.21%. For Xiyu Wang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -20.28%E -11.39%K -25.99%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV +6.56%E +3.40%K +7.05%G +0.462% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 14:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -19.38%E -10.77%K -24.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +5.45%E +2.86%K +5.99%G +0.327% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -14.45%E -7.57%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.04%E +0.566%K +1.25%G +0.013% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.42%E -5.21%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.28%E -1.29%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.70%E -1.72%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -12.66%E -6.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.94%E -2.83%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 14:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV +4.36%E +1.87%K +3.28%G +0.143% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-22 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +3.01%E +1.31%K +2.32%G +0.070% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-22 14:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV +0.327%E +0.146%K +0.264%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -11.11%E -6.90%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.46%E -0.666%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -1.91%E -0.873%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 14:06 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.11%EV -0.569%E -0.256%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.89%EV -14.42%E -9.31%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 14:30 |