Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova v Anouk Koevermans

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Polina Kudermetova (Local)

Prediction 65.92%1.52fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -8.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.16%65.97%65.92%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.421.421.4672.99%70.24%70.18%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anouk Koevermans (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.03%34.08%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.742.752.8237.74%36.53%36.36%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Polina Kudermetova (Local): 65.92%; Anouk Koevermans (Visit): 34.08%. For Polina Kudermetova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.46, with an expected value of -3.76%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -3.89%E -1.38%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 17:10
GTbets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.76%E -2.57%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -6.96%E -2.55%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 17:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.42%E -3.05%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 17:09
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.74%E -4.01%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.40%E -4.50%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 17:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.71%E -5.51%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.98%E -2.96%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 17:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -9.69%E -7.07%K -26.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 65.97%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.03%3.8%2026-05-19 17:20