Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peyton Stearns v Belinda Bencic

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 18:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prediction 30.61%3.27fair odd
EV +6.53%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.10%30.66%30.69%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.783.103.103.4835.97%32.28%32.26%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visit)

Prediction 69.39%1.44fair odd
EV -0.081%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.183%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%69.34%69.31%71.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4475.76%73.26%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 30.61%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 69.39%. For Peyton Stearns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV +6.53%E +1.88%K +2.63%G +0.172%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-29 18:39
DraftKings🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%EV +1.63%E +0.491%K +0.703%G +0.011%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%EV -8.41%E -6.37%K -26.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.02%E +0.309%K +0.443%G +0.005%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV +1.02%E +0.309%K +0.443%G +0.005%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.02%E +0.309%K +0.443%G +0.005%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.512%E -0.158%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 18:37
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -0.512%E -0.158%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 18:33
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.512%E -0.158%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.512%E -0.158%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.512%E -0.158%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 18:39
PlayUp🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.04%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:39
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.04%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -7.02%E -5.24%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 18:40
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.04%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.04%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 18:33
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -2.86%E -2.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-29 18:37
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.55%E -2.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
Bally Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:08
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.57%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -4.49%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 18:29
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 18:39
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.94%E -3.60%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:09
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:28
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 17:59
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.02%E -5.24%K -20.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 17:59
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.10%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -5.72%E -1.86%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 18:18
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.55%E -2.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 17:59
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.55%E -2.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 17:59
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:09
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.24%E -3.08%K -11.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 17:50
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.94%E -3.60%K -13.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.63%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:39
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.86%E -2.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.94%E -3.60%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.94%E -3.60%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:38
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 18:09
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 18:39
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Fliff🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.17%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.33%E -4.69%K -18.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 18:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -11.23%E -3.87%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -0.081%E -0.056%K -0.183%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.84%E -4.11%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:27
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.76%E -4.48%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.47%E -1.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 18:39
Betsson🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -14.59%E -5.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -1.47%E -1.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:39
NordicBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.73%EV -14.59%E -5.23%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27%EV -1.47%E -1.03%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -14.90%E -5.36%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.67%EV -3.55%E -2.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 18:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86%0.1%2026-05-29 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-29 18:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-29 18:39
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-05-29 18:39
Novig3.46I 28.90%NM 28.36%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.64%1.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-05-29 18:39