Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Noma Noha Akugue v Tatiana Prozorova

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Noma Noha Akugue (Local)

Prediction 59.04%1.69fair odd

EV -4.35%

Edge -2.68%

Kelly -7.01%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.22%58.90%58.90%59.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.591.591.6263.69%62.78%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tatiana Prozorova (Visit)

Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd

EV -2.12%

Edge -0.886%

Kelly -1.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.25%41.10%41.10%42.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.252.252.3947.62%44.47%44.44%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Noma Noha Akugue (Local): 59.04%; Tatiana Prozorova (Visit): 40.96%. For Tatiana Prozorova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.35%E -2.68%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.67%E -3.89%K -7.05%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-18 13:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.35%E -2.68%K -7.01%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.90%E -4.50%K -8.25%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-18 13:10
Pinnacle🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.94%E -3.07%K -8.09%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -2.12%E -0.886%K -1.52%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-05-18 13:55
Betway🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.12%E -3.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-18 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -4.98%E -2.15%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-18 13:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.85%E -3.49%K -6.28%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-18 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.30%E -4.65%K -12.81%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -13.99%E -6.66%K -12.72%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-05-18 13:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%	1.9%	2026-05-18 13:55