The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mayar Sherif v Greet Minnen

Kickoff: 2026-05-21 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mayar Sherif (Local)

Prediction 54.80%1.82fair odd
EV +5.21%
Edge +2.72%
Kelly +5.67%
Growth +0.295%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%55.41%51.66%65.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.671.751.9271.43%59.84%57.14%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Greet Minnen (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV +22.50%
Edge +8.30%
Kelly +13.16%
Growth +2.96%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.06%44.59%48.34%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.191.932.7153.48%45.59%51.81%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mayar Sherif (Local): 54.80%; Greet Minnen (Visit): 45.20%. For Greet Minnen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.94%EV -23.28%E -16.63%K -58.20%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.06%EV +22.50%E +8.30%K +13.16%G +2.96%8.3%2026-05-21 11:19
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -23.28%E -16.63%K -58.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV +19.78%E +7.47%K +11.99%G +2.37%9.2%2026-05-21 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -17.80%E -11.87%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.00%E +5.20%K +8.67%G +1.13%6.7%2026-05-21 11:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -17.80%E -11.87%K -35.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +8.48%E +3.53%K +6.06%G +0.514%8.3%2026-05-21 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV +5.21%E +2.72%K +5.67%G +0.295%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -12.76%E -6.61%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV +0.282%E +0.154%K +0.339%G +0.001%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -13.21%E -6.88%K -14.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 11:04
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +5.21%E +2.72%K +5.67%G +0.295%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -15.02%E -7.99%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 11:11
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -0.266%E -0.146%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -15.02%E -7.99%K -17.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 11:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -15.47%E -8.27%K -17.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%6.6%2026-05-21 11:20