Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mary Stoiana v Selena Janicijevic

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

64%

36%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mary Stoiana (Local)

Prediction 64.44%1.55fair odd

EV +2.47%

Edge +1.55%

Kelly +4.18%

Growth +0.103%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.13%66.59%64.44%78.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.231.461.461.5981.30%68.57%68.26%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Selena Janicijevic (Visit)

Prediction 35.56%2.81fair odd

EV +58.22%

Edge +13.08%

Kelly +16.88%

Growth +9.83%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

21.65%33.41%35.56%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.272.772.504.4544.05%36.06%40.00%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mary Stoiana (Local): 64.44%; Selena Janicijevic (Visit): 35.56%. For Selena Janicijevic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +58.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 78.35%EV -20.73%E -16.86%K -90.15%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV +58.22%E +13.08%K +16.88%G +9.83%	3.8%	2026-05-18 14:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.84%E -2.61%K -4.22%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-18 14:49
Betway🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.20%E -5.00%K -16.36%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.55%E -2.91%K -4.72%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-18 14:50
Fliff🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -3.98%E -2.67%K -8.12%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -14.67%E -6.11%K -10.48%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-05-18 14:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV +2.47%E +1.55%K +4.18%G +0.103%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -18.22%E -7.92%K -14.02%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-18 14:50
NordicBet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV +0.533%E +0.342%K +0.952%G +0.005%	2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -19.29%E -8.50%K -15.19%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-18 14:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.