L’École des cotes

Marta Kostyuk v Viktorija Golubic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 09:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 89.75%1.11cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -12.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.74%89.58%89.73%92.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.051.051.1099.01%94.99%95.24%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Viktorija Golubic (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.25%9.76cote équitable
EV +39.36%
Avantage +2.89%
Kelly +3.12%
Croissance +1.23%

avec la cote maximale 13.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.17%10.42%10.27%13.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.189.0013.6014.29%10.89%11.11%7.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +39.36%E +2.89%K +3.12%G +1.23%2.6%2026-05-29 09:10
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%3.4%2026-05-29 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%4.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%4.3%2026-05-29 09:10
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +5.04%E +0.491%K +0.544%G +0.027%5.0%2026-05-29 09:09
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.99%EV -9.35%E -9.26%K -934.98%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.01%EV +4.52%E +0.443%K +0.492%G +0.022%8.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.50%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%10.19I 9.81%NM 9.50%EV +4.42%E +0.434%K +0.481%G +0.021%3.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV +0.424%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 09:09
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -0.088%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 09:06
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:00
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -5.21%E -0.563%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 09:09
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:02
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:02
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.36%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.64%EV -8.80%E -0.989%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 08:58
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.34%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:58
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.17%E -1.99%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 08:59
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 09:07
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 09:07
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:09
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:00
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 09:07
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 09:09
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 09:09
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -9.35%E -9.26%K -934.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 09:10
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -15.46%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -17.92%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 09:03
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.02%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 09:04
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.02%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 09:07
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -2.17%E -1.99%K -24.11%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -19.25%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 09:09
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -21.10%E -2.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 09:04
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -1.27%E -1.16%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -24.99%E -3.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 09:04
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.56%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.44%EV -25.71%E -3.55%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 09:09
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.27%E -4.04%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 09:02
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.27%E -4.04%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 09:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 93.12%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.88%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-29 09:10
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.22%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.78%2.5%2026-05-29 09:10