La escuela de los momios

Marta Kostyuk v Viktorija Golubic

Inicio: 2026-05-29 09:12 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 89.75%1.11momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -12.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.74%89.58%89.73%92.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.051.051.1099.01%94.99%95.24%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Viktorija Golubic (Visitante)

Predicción 10.25%9.76momio equitativo
EV +39.36%
Ventaja +2.89%
Kelly +3.12%
Crecimiento +1.23%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.17%10.42%10.27%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.189.0013.6014.29%10.89%11.11%7.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 92.83%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%13.60I 7.35%NM 7.17%EV +39.36%E +2.89%K +3.12%G +1.23%2.6%2026-05-29 09:10
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%3.4%2026-05-29 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%4.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%4.3%2026-05-29 09:10
theScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.72%E +1.16%K +1.27%G +0.162%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +5.04%E +0.491%K +0.544%G +0.027%5.0%2026-05-29 09:09
Fliff1.01I 99.01%NM 90.99%EV -9.35%E -9.26%K -934.98%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.01%EV +4.52%E +0.443%K +0.492%G +0.022%8.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.50%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%10.19I 9.81%NM 9.50%EV +4.42%E +0.434%K +0.481%G +0.021%3.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%5.2%2026-05-29 09:09
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.47%E +0.247%K +0.275%G +0.007%6.2%2026-05-29 09:09
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV +0.424%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 09:09
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.28%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.72%EV -0.088%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 09:06
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Casumo1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:00
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 09:09
Paddy Power1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.65%E -0.279%K -0.312%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 09:10
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -5.21%E -0.563%K -0.632%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 09:09
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:02
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 09:02
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Grosvenor1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:09
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 09:10
Betway1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -7.77%E -0.864%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 09:10
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.36%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.64%EV -8.80%E -0.989%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 08:58
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -10.34%E -1.18%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:58
GTbets1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.17%E -1.99%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 08:59
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 09:07
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-29 09:07
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:09
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 09:00
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.76%E -5.49%K -115.19%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 09:07
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.66%E -6.40%K -166.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 09:09
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 09:09
PMU (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 89.38%EV -9.35%E -9.26%K -934.98%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -12.90%E -1.52%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 09:10
MyBookie.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.42%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -15.46%E -1.87%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -17.92%E -2.24%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 09:03
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -18.02%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 09:04
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.86%E -4.59%K -81.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.02%E -2.25%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 09:07
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 87.85%EV -2.17%E -1.99%K -24.11%G +0.000%7.88I 12.69%NM 12.15%EV -19.25%E -2.44%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 09:09
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -3.07%E -2.84%K -38.34%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -21.10%E -2.74%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 09:04
LowVig.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -1.27%E -1.16%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -24.99%E -3.41%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 09:04
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 87.56%EV -7.55%E -7.33%K -251.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.44%EV -25.71%E -3.55%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 09:09
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.27%E -4.04%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 09:02
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -3.96%E -3.71%K -56.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -28.27%E -4.04%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 09:07
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 93.12%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.88%0.4%2026-05-29 09:10
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-05-29 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%0.9%2026-05-29 09:10
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.22%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.78%2.5%2026-05-29 09:10