L’École des cotes

Marta Kostyuk v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 89.66%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -39.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.85%89.52%89.73%91.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.22%94.34%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.34%9.67cote équitable
EV +11.46%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.134%

avec la cote maximale 10.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.80%10.48%10.27%13.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.159.0010.7814.29%10.93%11.11%9.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +11.46%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.134%5.4%2026-05-23 18:19
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +11.46%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.134%5.4%2026-05-23 18:19
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 90.88%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%10.56I 9.47%NM 9.12%EV +9.18%E +0.870%K +0.961%G +0.088%3.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.56%E +0.816%K +0.901%G +0.077%3.0%2026-05-24 06:50
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.56%E +0.816%K +0.901%G +0.077%4.8%2026-05-23 18:03
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%3.5%2026-05-23 17:48
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%4.3%2026-05-23 17:48
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%6.2%2026-05-23 03:10
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV +2.88%E +0.289%K +0.321%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-24 08:50
BetAnything1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +2.88%E +0.289%K +0.321%G +0.009%5.3%2026-05-24 07:49
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.36%E +0.238%K +0.265%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-24 03:59
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +1.33%E +0.135%K +0.151%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-23 21:10
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -0.742%E -0.077%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -0.742%E -0.077%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 06:49
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 06:50
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 08:48
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 17:49
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.65%E -7.43%K -254.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 05:40
MyBookie.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -4.88%E -0.530%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 17:49
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.51%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.49%EV -5.60%E -0.614%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:18
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:30
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:19
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.49%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.51%EV -7.57%E -0.846%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 89.49%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.51%EV -7.57%E -0.846%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -9.53%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 11:19
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.17%E -2.93%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 07:10
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.17%E -2.93%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:09
Betway1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:10
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:09
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:09
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:40
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 06:40
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.70%E -1.78%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 21:10
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.29%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.45%E -2.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.62%E -3.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.13%10.99I 9.10%NM 8.87%2.6%2026-05-24 07:50