La escuela de los momios

Marta Kostyuk v Oksana Selekhmeteva

Inicio: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 89.66%1.12momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -39.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%89.52%89.73%91.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.22%94.34%92.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oksana Selekhmeteva (Visitante)

Predicción 10.34%9.67momio equitativo
EV +11.46%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.17%
Crecimiento +0.134%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.80%10.48%10.27%13.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.159.0010.7814.29%10.93%11.11%9.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +11.46%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.134%5.4%2026-05-23 18:19
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV +11.46%E +1.06%K +1.17%G +0.134%5.4%2026-05-23 18:19
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 90.88%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%10.56I 9.47%NM 9.12%EV +9.18%E +0.870%K +0.961%G +0.088%3.8%2026-05-24 08:50
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.56%E +0.816%K +0.901%G +0.077%3.0%2026-05-24 06:50
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.56%E +0.816%K +0.901%G +0.077%4.8%2026-05-23 18:03
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%3.5%2026-05-23 17:48
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%4.3%2026-05-23 17:48
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.39%E +0.339%K +0.377%G +0.013%6.2%2026-05-23 03:10
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV +2.88%E +0.289%K +0.321%G +0.009%4.4%2026-05-24 08:50
BetAnything1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV +2.88%E +0.289%K +0.321%G +0.009%5.3%2026-05-24 07:49
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.36%E +0.238%K +0.265%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-24 03:59
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +1.33%E +0.135%K +0.151%G +0.002%3.7%2026-05-23 21:10
Fanatics1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -0.742%E -0.077%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.14%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.86%EV -0.742%E -0.077%K -0.086%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 06:49
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 06:50
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-24 08:48
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 17:49
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 19:40
NetBet (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.65%E -7.43%K -254.99%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.78%E -0.187%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 05:40
MyBookie.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -4.88%E -0.530%K -0.595%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 17:49
GTbets1.07I 93.46%NM 89.51%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.49%EV -5.60%E -0.614%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (NL)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Casumo1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
TABtouch1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Unibet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
LeoVegas1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Grosvenor1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
BetRivers1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
betPARX1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
ATG (SE)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
Bally Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Svenska Spel1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
Hard Rock Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:18
Coral1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 09:40
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 06:19
William Hill1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 07:30
TAB1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -6.95%E -0.772%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:19
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.49%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.51%EV -7.57%E -0.846%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 89.49%EV -5.86%E -5.58%K -117.13%G +0.000%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.51%EV -7.57%E -0.846%K -0.953%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 17:49
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -9.53%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 11:19
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.17%E -2.93%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 07:10
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.17%E -2.93%K -39.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-23 21:09
Betway1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:10
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:09
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 03:09
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:40
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:39
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 07:40
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.12%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 06:40
theScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -14.70%E -1.78%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-23 21:10
Marathon Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.29%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.80%K -58.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.45%E -2.99%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.96%E -4.68%K -82.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.62%E -3.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 17:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-24 08:30
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 92.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-05-24 08:50
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 91.13%10.99I 9.10%NM 8.87%2.6%2026-05-24 07:50