The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Maria Lourdes Carle v Maria Timofeeva

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 15:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Lourdes Carle (Local)

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV +4.09%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.83%24.04%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.813.754.3328.57%26.21%26.67%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Timofeeva (Visit)

Prediction 75.96%1.32fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -16.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.84%76.17%75.96%77.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.231.251.2685.47%81.05%80.32%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Lourdes Carle (Local): 24.04%; Maria Timofeeva (Visit): 75.96%. For Maria Lourdes Carle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV +4.09%E +0.944%K +1.23%G +0.050%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -5.81%E -4.68%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 15:30
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.85%E -0.962%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -6.25%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.92%EV -11.13%E -9.51%K -65.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 15:20
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:30
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -4.04%K -20.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:30
NordicBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.20%EV -10.10%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -4.29%E -3.40%K -16.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -14.66%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -8.09%E -6.68%K -38.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-20 15:10
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -15.87%E -4.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -5.81%E -4.68%K -24.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-05-20 15:30