Language:English
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local)
Prediction 55.76%1.79fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.00%55.70%60.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.671.671.7765.36%59.98%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 44.24%2.26fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +2.04%
Kelly +3.54%
Growth +0.171%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.23%44.00%44.30%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.172.3750.00%46.17%46.08%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local): 55.76%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 44.24%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -14.69%E -9.60%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +4.85%E +2.04%K +3.54%G +0.171% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -14.69%E -9.60%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +4.85%E +2.04%K +3.54%G +0.171% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -13.01%E -8.34%K -23.24%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV +3.96%E +1.69%K +2.93%G +0.116% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.78%E -6.74%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.75%E +0.760%K +1.35%G +0.024% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.864%E +0.379%K +0.675%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.864%E +0.379%K +0.675%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.864%E +0.379%K +0.675%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +0.864%E +0.379%K +0.675%G +0.006% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -0.463%E -0.206%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -10.22%E -6.35%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -0.463%E -0.206%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.45%E -7.93%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -0.463%E -0.206%K -0.370%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.35%E -0.604%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -1.35%E -0.604%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -1.35%E -0.604%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -10.22%E -6.35%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -1.35%E -0.604%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -12.45%E -7.93%K -21.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -2.67%E -1.22%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.09%E -2.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 06:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 06:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.56%E -1.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.44%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -9.11%E -5.59%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -13.57%E -8.75%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -4.89%E -2.27%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.33%E -2.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.33%E -2.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.44%E -4.48%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -5.33%E -2.49%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.09%E -2.38%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.77%E -2.71%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -8.55%E -5.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -5.77%E -2.71%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.98%E -1.71%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 17:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.55%E -5.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.21%E -2.93%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.30%E -0.736%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 17:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.65%E -2.72%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.21%E -3.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 08:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:27 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.10%E -3.38%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -6.88%E -4.12%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.65%EV -8.43%E -4.07%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.31%E -4.54%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -9.31%E -4.54%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.99%E -4.84%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.31%E -4.54%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -9.75%E -4.78%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.32%E -3.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.55%E -5.21%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.52%E -5.76%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-25 17:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 17:40 |